Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Maya Joint — Toronto Round of 128
AUSQ
Starodubtseva Y.
Yuliia Starodubtseva faces Maya Joint in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Yuliia Starodubtseva holds the paper edge — ranked #62, leading the head-to-head 1–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Yuliia Starodubtseva comes in with 5 days of rest and 30 games in 14d, vs Maya Joint's 1 and 127.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Maya Joint rising, Yuliia Starodubtseva cooling.
- Last match: Maya Joint dropped the opening set before beating Ana Grubor 3–6 7–5 7–6.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadStarodubtseva Y.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Joint M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Nottingham | R32 | grass | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 5-7 4-6 |