Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32
Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Henning P.vs
Kasnikowski M.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCHenning P.47%
Kasnikowski M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
6.4+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.6Hard Elo 1369
5.8Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap4.2Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
9 vs 27 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Kasnikowski M.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
77
74
Henning P.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Kasnikowski M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.