Henry Searle vs Lloyd Harris — Lexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

GBR

Henry Searle

#217ATP

1540ELO

1419Hard ELO

20 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

WWWWWLWWWW

—

Sets

Monday, 3 August 2026 · 10:00

hard

RSA

Lloyd Harris

#182ATP

1665ELO

1640Hard ELO

$130kYTD

$4.7MCAREER

29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLLWLWLWL

Searle H.

Harris L.

Henry Searle faces Lloyd Harris in the Lexington round of 32 on hard. Lloyd Harris is the paper favourite — ranked #182, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage — but Henry Searle rides a 5-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Searle H.38%

Harris L.62%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Harris L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Henry Searle comes in with 21 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Lloyd Harris's 10 and 38.
Win streak: Henry Searle arrives on a 5-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Searle H.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Harris L.

6.8

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.2Hard Elo 1418

Surface ELO

7.8+222 Hard Elo edge

3.4Overall Elo 1540

ELO gap

6.6Overall Elo 1665

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.38 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.67 of last 10 on hard

9.05-match win streak

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.0Grass → Hard

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season

Searle H.Harris L.

1st serve in·Slight edge

58%

68%

1st serve points won·Even

76%

73%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

50%

Service points won·Even

66%

Return points won·Even

39%

38%

Break points saved·Clear edge

53%

71%

Aces / match·Clear edge

5.5

7.8

Double faults / match·Slight edge

1.9

1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Searle H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Harris L.

Harris L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Searle H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Searle H.Harris L.

Freshness·Even

100

Searle H.: 21 days rest · Harris L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather forecast

22°COvercast

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.