Olle Wallin vs Andrea GuerrieriGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#386ATP
1300ELO
1278Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#215ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLW
Wallin O.
vs
Guerrieri A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Wallin O.40%
Guerrieri A.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Guerrieri A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1278
Surface ELO
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1300
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
48%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wallin O.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Guerrieri A.

Guerrieri A.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Wallin O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
100

Wallin O.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Guerrieri A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw