Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Sebastian GorznyLexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#222ATP
1489ELO
1468Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWLWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#883ATP
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWLWL
Hsiou Hsu Y.
vs
Gorzny S.

Yu Hsiou Hsu faces Sebastian Gorzny in the Lexington round of 32 on hard. Yu Hsiou Hsu holds the paper edge — ranked #222. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Hsiou Hsu Y.73%
Gorzny S.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hsiou Hsu Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Yu Hsiou Hsu comes in with 4 days of rest and 78 games in 14d, vs Sebastian Gorzny's 12 and 71.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.93 of last 6 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in Usa (44)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
64%
1st serve points won·
65%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
40%
Break points saved·
59%
Aces / match·
2.9
Double faults / match·
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
93

Hsiou Hsu Y.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Gorzny S.: 12 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw