Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachko — Hagen Round of 32
Giustino L.
Lorenzo Giustino faces Vitaliy Sachko in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Vitaliy Sachko holds the paper edge — ranked #192, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Sachko V. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Lorenzo Giustino comes in with 4 days of rest and 62 games in 14d, vs Vitaliy Sachko's 13 and 44.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Vitaliy Sachko has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 51 vs 1).
- Surface form: Both 5 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGiustino L.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Sachko V.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.