Alexis Galarneau vs Vit KoprivaMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#167ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#70ATP
1740ELO
1670Hard ELO
$827kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLLWW
Galarneau A.
vs
Kopriva V.

Alexis Galarneau faces Vit Kopriva in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Vit Kopriva holds the paper edge — ranked #70, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Galarneau A.50%
Kopriva V.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Vit Kopriva has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 60 vs 28).
  • Fatigue load: Vit Kopriva carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Galarneau A. 1–2 · Kopriva V. 2–1 · small sample
Kopriva V. better · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1548
Surface ELO
6.5+122 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1593
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1740
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

37 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Galarneau A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kopriva V.

Kopriva V.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Galarneau A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
88
Break points won·Dominant
16
76
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Galarneau A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kopriva V.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw