Marton Fucsovics vs Corentin Moutet — Montreal Round of 128
Fucsovics M.
Marton Fucsovics faces Corentin Moutet in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Corentin Moutet is the paper favourite — ranked #57 — but Marton Fucsovics has won 3 of their 5 previous meetings.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Marton Fucsovics grades 20 on serve, Corentin Moutet 64 on return.
- Head-to-head: Marton Fucsovics leads the head-to-head 3–2, 2–2 on hard. Last met at Cincinnati Masters 2024.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMoutet C.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
3–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Q2 | hard | Corentin Moutet | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| 2024-04-15 | Bucharest | QF | clay | Marton Fucsovics | 4-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2022-10-24 | Vienna | Q1 | hard | Marton Fucsovics | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2022-10-22 | Vienna | Q16 | hard | Marton Fucsovics | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Adelaide 2 | R16 | hard | Corentin Moutet | 6-2 6-2 |