Amelia Paszun vs Weronika Falkowska — Warsaw Round of 32
Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Paszun A.vs
Falkowska W.
Amelia Paszun faces Weronika Falkowska in the Warsaw round of 32 on hard. Weronika Falkowska holds the paper edge — ranked #330, leading the head-to-head 1–0.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCPaszun A.29%
Falkowska W.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Falkowska W. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Weronika Falkowska leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at W35 Bolszewo 2026.
- Surface form: Amelia Paszun 1 of 4, Weronika Falkowska 2 of 4 on hard recently — Weronika Falkowska the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Weronika Falkowska carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H5.0First meeting on hard
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
7 vs 34 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
50%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | W35 Bolszewo | R16 | clay | Weronika Falkowska | 6-3 6-7(6) 6-2 |