Weronika Ewald vs Justina Mikulskyte — Warsaw Round of 32
Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Ewald W.vs
Mikulskyte J.
Weronika Ewald faces Justina Mikulskyte in the Warsaw round of 32 on hard. Justina Mikulskyte holds the paper edge — ranked #237.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCEwald W.47%
Mikulskyte J.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Weronika Ewald 1 of 4, Justina Mikulskyte 3 of 4 on hard recently — Justina Mikulskyte the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1312
Surface ELO5.0+4 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1387
ELO gap4.6Overall Elo 1357
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
14 vs 39 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
3.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.