Viktor Durasovic vs Michael GeertsGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#490ATP
1320ELO
1329Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#337ATP
1400ELO
1383Hard ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLLWL
Durasovic V.
vs
Geerts M.

Viktor Durasovic faces Michael Geerts in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki round of 32 on hard. Michael Geerts is the paper favourite — ranked #337, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Viktor Durasovic has won their only previous meeting.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Durasovic V.44%
Geerts M.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Viktor Durasovic carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Viktor Durasovic leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25+H Rodez 1 2020.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1329
Surface ELO
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1320
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1400
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
1.72 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.5
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Durasovic V.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Geerts M.

Geerts M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Durasovic V.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
6
9
Break points saved·Clear edge
69
82
Break points won·Even
1
3
Deciding sets·Even
11
8
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
11
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Geerts M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-10-13M25+H Rodez 1R32hardViktor Durasovic6-3 7-5

Draw