Matej Dodig vs Oleksii KrutykhHagen Q16

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Q16
#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
SPARKASSEN PREMIUM COURT · 3rd on
#526ATP
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLW
Dodig M.
6-4 7-5
Krutykh O.
Dodig M.
672
Krutykh O.
450

Matej Dodig won the final of the Hagen tournament, defeating Oleksii Krutykh 6-4, 7-5 on clay. Dodig hit 6 aces and 1 double fault, while Krutykh had 3 aces and 8 double faults. Dodig converted 50% of his break points and broke Krutykh's serve 3 times, compared to Krutykh's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
21
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
65
Break points won·Clear edge
3
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
47
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Dodig M.48%
Krutykh O.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
60

Dodig M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 41 games (7d) · Krutykh O.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw