Emilien Demanet vs Alexander VasilevPlovdiv 2 Round of 32

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#647ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
LLLWLWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#564ATP
1443ELO
1396Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLL
Demanet E.
vs
Vasilev A.

Emilien Demanet faces Alexander Vasilev in the Plovdiv 2 round of 32 on clay. Alexander Vasilev holds the paper edge — ranked #564. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Demanet E.69%
Vasilev A.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Demanet E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
58%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
57%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Demanet E.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Vasilev A.

Vasilev A.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Demanet E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Vasilev A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw