Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Montreal Round of 128
USAQ
Damm M.
Martin Damm faces Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas holds the paper edge — ranked #51, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Tsitsipas S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Stefanos Tsitsipas has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 84 vs 26).
- Freshness: Martin Damm comes in with 1 days of rest and 101 games in 14d, vs Stefanos Tsitsipas's 1 and 79.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDamm M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.