Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Sofia CostoulasWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#217WTA
1518ELO
1467Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLLLL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#158WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWLLLLW
Andrea Knutson G.
vs
Costoulas S.

Gabriela Andrea Knutson faces Sofia Costoulas in the Warsaw round of 32 on hard. Sofia Costoulas holds the paper edge — ranked #158, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Andrea Knutson G.31%
Costoulas S.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Costoulas S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Andrea Knutson G. 0–2 · Costoulas S. 0–2 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 0 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1467
Surface ELO
6.3+102 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1518
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1565
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.37 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

36 vs 41 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Andrea Knutson G.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Costoulas S.

Costoulas S.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Andrea Knutson G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
83
Break points saved·Even
80
83
Break points won·Clear edge
69
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
96
Tiebreaks·
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
78

Andrea Knutson G.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Costoulas S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-02W50 Nantes 1R16hardSofia Costoulas4-6 6-1 6-4

Draw