Talia Gibson vs Elisabetta CocciarettoToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#72WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWLLL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#71WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
$555kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLLLLLW
Gibson T.
vs
Cocciaretto E.

Talia Gibson faces Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Elisabetta Cocciaretto holds the paper edge — ranked #71.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Gibson T.62%
Cocciaretto E.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gibson T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
8 common opponents · Gibson T. 4–5 · Cocciaretto E. 6–4
Gibson T. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1737
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1805
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

44 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gibson T.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cocciaretto E.

Cocciaretto E.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gibson T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
21
Break points saved·Dominant
83
18
Break points won·Slight edge
70
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
56

Gibson T.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Cocciaretto E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw