Max Schoenhaus vs Jan Choinski — Hagen Round of 32
GBR2
Schoenhaus M.
Max Schoenhaus faces Jan Choinski in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Jan Choinski holds the paper edge — ranked #88, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Choinski J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Max Schoenhaus comes in with 4 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Jan Choinski's 1 and 58.
- Surface form: Max Schoenhaus 4 of 9, Jan Choinski 8 of 9 on clay recently — Jan Choinski the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Jan Choinski arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadSchoenhaus M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Choinski J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.