Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad MedjedovicMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#50ATP
1790ELO
1658Hard ELO
$779kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLLWWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#73ATP
1841ELO
1744Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWLW
Cerundolo J.
vs
Medjedovic H.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo faces Hamad Medjedovic in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Hamad Medjedovic holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 3–0, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Cerundolo J.47%
Medjedovic H.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
8 common opponents · Cerundolo J. 6–3 · Medjedovic H. 3–6
Cerundolo J. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1658
Surface ELO
6.1+87 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1790
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1840
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Medjedovic H.

Medjedovic H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
95
Break points won·Dominant
56
8
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Cerundolo J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR64clayHamad Medjedovic6-3 6-4 7-5
2023-05-29Roland GarrosQ2clayHamad Medjedovic6-3 3-6 6-3
2023-05-24Roland GarrosQ64clayHamad Medjedovic6-3 3-6 6-3

Draw