Gabriele Piraino vs Carlo Alberto CaniatoPlovdiv 2 Round of 32

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#402ATP
1254ELO
1248Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#389ATP
1282ELO
1278Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLWWL
Piraino G.
vs
Caniato C.

Gabriele Piraino faces Carlo Alberto Caniato in the Plovdiv 2 round of 32 on clay. Carlo Alberto Caniato holds the paper edge — ranked #389, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Piraino G.42%
Caniato C.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Caniato C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Gabriele Piraino comes in with 6 days of rest and 33 games in 14d, vs Carlo Alberto Caniato's 4 and 16.
  • Surface form: Both 1 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1248
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1254
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1282
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.53 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.43 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Piraino G.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Caniato C.

Caniato C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Piraino G.

Serve advantage — Caniato C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
94

Piraino G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Caniato C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw