Petr Brunclik vs Lorenzo CarboniPlovdiv 2 Round of 32

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#340ATP
1526ELO
1469Clay ELO
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#470ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWWWLWL
Brunclik P.
vs
Carboni L.

Petr Brunclik faces Lorenzo Carboni in the Plovdiv 2 round of 32 on clay. Petr Brunclik holds the paper edge — ranked #340, a roughly 300-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Brunclik P.65%
Carboni L.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Brunclik P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.8+303 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Clay Elo 1166
9.6Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1160
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brunclik P.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Carboni L.

Carboni L.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Brunclik P.

Serve advantage — Brunclik P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Brunclik P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw