Zdenek Kolar vs Raul BrancaccioHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#154ATP
1506ELO
1485Clay ELO
$124kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLLWWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#236ATP
1492ELO
1465Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWLLL
Kolar Z.
vs
Brancaccio R.

Zdenek Kolar faces Raul Brancaccio in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Zdenek Kolar holds the paper edge — ranked #154, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Kolar Z.60%
Brancaccio R.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kolar Z. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Zdenek Kolar 44 games in 14 days, Raul Brancaccio 25.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Kolar Z. 0–2 · Brancaccio R. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Grass)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+20 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1465
5.2Overall Elo 1506
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1492
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
2.63 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kolar Z.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Brancaccio R.

Brancaccio R.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kolar Z.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
11
Break points saved·Even
53
49
Break points won·Slight edge
28
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
96

Kolar Z.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Brancaccio R.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw