Mccartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace — Toronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
Mccartney Kessler
USA
Mccartney Kessler
#47WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLL
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
CANWC
Cadence Brace
#254WTA
1506ELO
1493Hard ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWWLLW
Kessler M.
vs
Brace C.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Kessler M.73%
Brace C.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kessler M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Kessler M. 1–1 · Brace C. 1–2 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 9 days apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kessler M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Brace C.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+291 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1493
8.8Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1506
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
Kessler M.Brace C.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kessler M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Brace C.

Brace C.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Kessler M.Brace C.
Freshness·Slight edge
92
86

Kessler M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Brace C.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw