Damir Dzumhur vs Geoffrey BlancaneauxGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#102ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$538kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#408ATP
1387ELO
1375Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWLL
Dzumhur D.
vs
Blancaneaux G.

Damir Dzumhur faces Geoffrey Blancaneaux in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki round of 32 on hard. Damir Dzumhur holds the paper edge — ranked #102, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Dzumhur D.54%
Blancaneaux G.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Damir Dzumhur has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 65 vs 15).
  • Fatigue load: Geoffrey Blancaneaux carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Dzumhur D. 2–0 · Blancaneaux G. 0–1 · small sample
Dzumhur D. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+221 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1375
8.1Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1387
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Blancaneaux G.

Blancaneaux G.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Serve advantage — Blancaneaux G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
15
Break points saved·Slight edge
70
62
Break points won·Dominant
78
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
18
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Dzumhur D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw