Kimberly Birrell vs Viktorija GolubicToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#66WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWWLL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#51WTA
1775ELO
1720Hard ELO
$652kYTD
$5.5MCAREER
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWWWL
Birrell K.
vs
Golubic V.

Kimberly Birrell faces Viktorija Golubic in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Viktorija Golubic holds the paper edge — ranked #51. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC
Birrell K.60%
Golubic V.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Birrell K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
7 common opponents · Birrell K. 2–7 · Golubic V. 4–4
Golubic V. better · same surface, 3 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1720
4.7Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1775
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

35 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Birrell K.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Golubic V.

Golubic V.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
19
Break points saved·Even
7
4
Break points won·Slight edge
77
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
31
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
20
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
87

Birrell K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Golubic V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR128hardKimberly Birrell6-4 6-4
2022-08-25US OpenQ64hardViktorija Golubic6-2 2-6 6-4

Draw