Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin BertrandGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#221ATP
1526ELO
1519Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLWL
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#363ATP
1319ELO
1321Hard ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLLL
Moro Canas A.
vs
Bertrand R.

Alejandro Moro Canas faces Robin Bertrand in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki round of 32 on hard. Alejandro Moro Canas holds the paper edge — ranked #221, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Moro Canas A.66%
Bertrand R.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Moro Canas A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+198 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1321
7.6Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1319
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Moro Canas A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bertrand R.

Bertrand R.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Moro Canas A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
0
Break points saved·Dominant
82
30
Break points won·Slight edge
35
25
Deciding sets·Even
20
18
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
7
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Moro Canas A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw