Tomasz Berkieta vs Facundo Mena — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32
Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Berkieta T.vs
Mena F.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTCBerkieta T.39%
Mena F.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Mena F. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1211
Surface ELO6.8+143 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1182
ELO gap8.1Overall Elo 1427
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.01 of last 5 on hard
Surface form5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
13 vs 22 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
54%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Mena F.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
88
98
Berkieta T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Mena F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.