Alex Barrena vs Timofey Skatov — Hagen Round of 32
ARGALT
KAZ7
Barrena A.
Alex Barrena faces Timofey Skatov in the Hagen round of 32 on clay. Timofey Skatov holds the paper edge — ranked #150, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Skatov T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alex Barrena comes in with 3 days of rest and 61 games in 14d, vs Timofey Skatov's 1 and 165.
- Head-to-head: Timofey Skatov leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Wimbledon 2026.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBarrena A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Timofey Skatov | 6-3 7-6 |