Ozan Baris vs Liam Broady — Lexington Round of 32
Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
GBR#202ATP
1590ELO
1577Hard ELO
$89kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWLLL
Baris O.vs
Broady L.
Ozan Baris faces Liam Broady in the Lexington round of 32 on hard. Liam Broady is the paper favourite — ranked #202 — but Ozan Baris arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last hard matches to Liam Broady's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTCBaris O.25%
Broady L.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Broady L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Ozan Baris 4 of 4, Liam Broady 1 of 4 on hard recently — Ozan Baris the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Ozan Baris carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.8Won 63% in Usa (75)
Country comfort6.4Won 73% in Usa (22)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
24 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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64%
1st serve points won·
—
70%
2nd serve points won·
—
56%
Service points won·
—
65%
Return points won·
—
45%
Break points saved·
—
60%
Aces / match·
—
2.8
Double faults / match·
—
1.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 91%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.