Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper — Montreal Round of 128
Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#56ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWLLL
—
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
GBRWC#147ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$351kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLWWW
Atmane T.vs
Draper J.
Terence Atmane faces Jack Draper in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Terence Atmane holds the paper edge — ranked #56.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTCAtmane T.17%
Draper J.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Draper J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Jack Draper has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 92 vs 32).
- Fatigue load: Terence Atmane carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 months5 common opponents · Atmane T. 2–5 · Draper J. 1–4
Both lost · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO6.4+109 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap6.5Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countSurface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
27 vs 12 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
30%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.9
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.