Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akugue — Warsaw Round of 32
Avdeeva J.
Julia Avdeeva faces Noma Noha Akugue in the Warsaw round of 32 on hard. Noma Noha Akugue is the paper favourite — ranked #137, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage — but Julia Avdeeva has won their only previous meeting, though none on hard.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Noha Akugue N. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Julia Avdeeva 30 games in 14 days, Noma Noha Akugue 53.
- Head-to-head: Julia Avdeeva leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at W50+H Leipzig 2025.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadAvdeeva J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Noha Akugue N.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-04 | W50+H Leipzig | QF | clay | Julia Avdeeva | 6-4 1-6 7-6 |