Valerio Aboian vs Carlos Sanchez JoverPlovdiv 2 Round of 32

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#427ATP
1348ELO
1339Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWWLW
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
#374ATP
1360ELO
1341Clay ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLWWW
Aboian V.
vs
Sanchez Jover C.

Valerio Aboian faces Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Plovdiv 2 round of 32 on clay. Carlos Sanchez Jover holds the paper edge — ranked #374. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Aboian V.45%
Sanchez Jover C.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1339
Surface ELO
5.0+2 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1348
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Aboian V.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Sanchez Jover C.

Sanchez Jover C.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Aboian V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
12
28
Break points saved·Clear edge
39
26
Break points won·Clear edge
37
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
64
Tiebreaks·
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Aboian V.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Sanchez Jover C.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw