Eli Stephenson vs Trevor Svajda — Lexington Qualifying Semi-final
Lexington · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
—
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 4th on
Stephenson E.vs
Svajda T.
Eli Stephenson faces Trevor Svajda in the Lexington qualifying semi-final on hard. Trevor Svajda holds the paper edge — ranked #436.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCStephenson E.18%
Svajda T.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Svajda T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Eli Stephenson carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Eli Stephenson 4 of 9, Trevor Svajda 7 of 9 on hard recently — Trevor Svajda the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.4Won 74% in Usa (54)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
5 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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55%
1st serve points won·
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68%
2nd serve points won·
—
49%
Service points won·
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59%
Return points won·
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43%
Break points saved·
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57%
Aces / match·
—
2.6
Double faults / match·
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2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
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80
Svajda T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 88%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.