Abedallah Shelbayh vs Joshua SheehyLexington Qualifying Semi-final

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#269ATP
1442ELO
1448Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 4th on
#649ATP
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLWWL
Shelbayh A.
vs
Sheehy J.

Abedallah Shelbayh faces Joshua Sheehy in the Lexington qualifying semi-final on hard. Abedallah Shelbayh holds the paper edge — ranked #269.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Shelbayh A.71%
Sheehy J.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelbayh A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
4.4Won 39% in Usa (66)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Shelbayh A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sheehy J.

Sheehy J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shelbayh A.

Serve advantage — Sheehy J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
86

Shelbayh A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d) · Sheehy J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw