Oskari Paldanius vs Leo Raquillet — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Qualifying Semi-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
FIN
Oskari Paldanius
#1083ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWWLLLW
—
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 12 · 1st on
FRA7
Leo Raquillet
#654ATP
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLWWL
Paldanius O.
vs
Raquillet L.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Paldanius O.60%
Raquillet L.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Paldanius O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paldanius O.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Raquillet L.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
Paldanius O.Raquillet L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
74%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
67%
55%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
50%
33%
Service points won·Clear edge
61%
49%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Paldanius O.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Raquillet L.

Raquillet L.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Paldanius O.

Serve advantage — Paldanius O.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Paldanius O.Raquillet L.
Freshness·Slight edge
97
90

Paldanius O.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Raquillet L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw