Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanova

Memphis · WTA · Final

RUS

Kristina Liutova

#229WTA

1681ELO

1592Hard ELO

16 yrs

Last 10

WWWWWLWWWW

—

Sets

Sunday, 2 August 2026 · 12:30

hard

CZE

Darja Vidmanova

#114WTA

1675ELO

1665Hard ELO

23 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWLWLWWL

Liutova K.

Vidmanova D.

Kristina Liutova faces Darja Vidmanova in the Memphis final on hard. Darja Vidmanova holds the paper edge — ranked #114, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Liutova K.45%

Vidmanova D.55%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Kristina Liutova comes in with 1 days of rest and 108 games in 14d, vs Darja Vidmanova's 0 and 75.
Last match: Darja Vidmanova dropped just 6 games past Renata Zarazua.
Win streak: Both arrive in form — Kristina Liutova on a 16-match run, Darja Vidmanova on 4.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Liutova K.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Vidmanova D.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.1Hard Elo 1592

Surface ELO

5.9+73 Hard Elo edge

5.1Overall Elo 1681

ELO gap

4.9Overall Elo 1674

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

10.010 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

9.49 of last 10 on hard

10.016-match win streak

Win streak

7.04-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

6.3Won 72% in Usa (46)

Country comfort

6.8Won 80% in Usa (50)

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 43 matches

Statistics

This season

Liutova K.Vidmanova D.

1st serve in·Slight edge

70%

65%

1st serve points won·Even

62%

63%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

46%

Service points won·Even

58%

57%

Return points won·Slight edge

52%

45%

Break points saved·Even

61%

58%

Aces / match·Dominant

0.6

3.8

Double faults / match·Slight edge

1.9

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Liutova K.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Vidmanova D.

Vidmanova D.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Liutova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Liutova K.Vidmanova D.

Freshness·Even

Liutova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 108 games (7d) · Vidmanova D.: played today · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

26°CMainly clear

Wind 15 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanova — Memphis Final