Aidan Mayo vs Christian Langmo — Lexington Qualifying Semi-final

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
USA
Aidan Mayo
#689ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLWLWL
—
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
Christian Langmo
USA9
Christian Langmo
#457ATP
1267ELO
1254Hard ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLLWL
Mayo A.
vs
Langmo C.

Aidan Mayo faces Christian Langmo in the Lexington qualifying semi-final on hard. Christian Langmo holds the paper edge — ranked #457. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Mayo A.60%
Langmo C.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mayo A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mayo A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Langmo C.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1254
6.4Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1266
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
4.8Won 47% in Usa (51)
Country comfort
5.2Won 53% in Usa (73)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
Mayo A.Langmo C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mayo A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Langmo C.

Langmo C.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mayo A.

Serve advantage — Mayo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Mayo A.Langmo C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
12
22
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
88
Break points won·Even
1
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
7
22
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
52
34

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Mayo A.Langmo C.
Freshness·Clear edge
66
80

Mayo A.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d) · Langmo C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw