Nicolas Mejia vs Martin LandaluceMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#131ATP
1477ELO
1424Hard ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
ROGERS COURT · 2nd on
#63ATP
1727ELO
1685Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWLWLWW
Mejia N.
vs
Landaluce M.

Nicolas Mejia faces Martin Landaluce in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Martin Landaluce holds the paper edge — ranked #63, a roughly 260-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Mejia N.34%
Landaluce M.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Landaluce M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Mejia N. 0–1 · Landaluce M. 0–1 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Grass × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Hard Elo 1424
Surface ELO
8.3+261 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1726
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mejia N.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Landaluce M.

Landaluce M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mejia N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
59
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
92
Break points won·Slight edge
6
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
38
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
92

Mejia N.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Landaluce M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw