Ergi Kirkin vs Kacper SzymkowiakGrodzisk Mazowiecki Qualifying Semi-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#595ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWLLL
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#948ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLWWWLW
Kirkin E.
vs
Szymkowiak K.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Kirkin E.60%
Szymkowiak K.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kirkin E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kirkin E.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Szymkowiak K.

Szymkowiak K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kirkin E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Kirkin E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw