Tyler Zink vs Strong KirchheimerLexington Qualifying Semi-final

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#343ATP
1371ELO
1351Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 3rd on
#629ATP
31 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLLL
Zink T.
vs
Kirchheimer S.

Tyler Zink faces Strong Kirchheimer in the Lexington qualifying semi-final on hard. Tyler Zink holds the paper edge — ranked #343. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Zink T.73%
Kirchheimer S.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zink T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Tyler Zink comes in with 3 days of rest and 114 games in 14d, vs Strong Kirchheimer's 14 and 30.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 7 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
5.7Won 61% in Usa (116)
Country comfort
5.1Won 51% in Usa (134)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zink T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Kirchheimer S.

Kirchheimer S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zink T.

Serve advantage — Zink T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
97

Zink T.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 92 games (7d) · Kirchheimer S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw