Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Montreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
USAQ
Michael Zheng
#118ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWLWW
—
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 5 · 1st on
Miomir Kecmanovic
SRB
Miomir Kecmanovic
#60ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$777kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWLLW
Zheng M.
vs
Kecmanovic M.

Michael Zheng faces Miomir Kecmanovic in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Miomir Kecmanovic holds the paper edge — ranked #60, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Zheng M.58%
Kecmanovic M.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zheng M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Zheng M. 3–1 · Kecmanovic M. 1–3 · small sample
Zheng M. better · different surfaces (Grass × Clay)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zheng M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Kecmanovic M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1672
Surface ELO
5.5+38 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1695
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1768
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
Zheng M.Kecmanovic M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Kecmanovic M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zheng M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Zheng M.Kecmanovic M.
Freshness·Dominant
62
96

Zheng M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw