Ilya Ivashka vs M. KumarGrodzisk Mazowiecki Qualifying Semi-final

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#401ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWWLW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 13 · 3rd on
#1407ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
LLLLLLWLWL
Ivashka I.
vs
Kumar M.

Ilya Ivashka faces M. Kumar in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki qualifying semi-final on hard. Ilya Ivashka holds the paper edge — ranked #401.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Ivashka I.81%
Kumar M.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ivashka I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Ilya Ivashka 3 of 5, M. Kumar 1 of 5 on hard recently — Ilya Ivashka the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Ilya Ivashka carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

13 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
63%
82%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
67%
49%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ivashka I.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kumar M.

Kumar M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ivashka I.

Serve advantage — Ivashka I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Ivashka I.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw