Tim Handel vs Daniel SiniakovHagen Qualifying Semi-final

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#772ATP
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLLLL
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
#448ATP
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWWL
Handel T.
vs
Siniakov D.

Tim Handel faces Daniel Siniakov in the Hagen qualifying semi-final on clay. Daniel Siniakov holds the paper edge — ranked #448, leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Handel T.39%
Siniakov D.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Siniakov D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Daniel Siniakov carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Daniel Siniakov leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at M25 Kassel 1 2024.
  • Surface form: Tim Handel 2 of 8, Daniel Siniakov 4 of 8 on clay recently — Daniel Siniakov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
48%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.6
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Handel T.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Siniakov D.

Siniakov D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Handel T.

Serve advantage — Siniakov D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Siniakov D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-11M25 Kassel 1R16clayDaniel Siniakov7-5 4-6 6-4
2022-09-30M15 Prostejov 1SFclayDaniel Siniakov6-1 6-4

Draw