Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Marko TopoHagen Qualifying Semi-final

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#713ATP
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWWWW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
#348ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWLWL
Gutierrez O.
vs
Topo M.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez faces Marko Topo in the Hagen qualifying semi-final on clay. Marko Topo is the paper favourite — ranked #348 — but Oscar Jose Gutierrez arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Marko Topo's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Gutierrez O.39%
Topo M.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Topo M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
1.01 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gutierrez O.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Topo M.

Topo M.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Gutierrez O.

Serve advantage — Gutierrez O.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
28
Break points saved·Dominant
15
87
Break points won·Clear edge
16
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
2
12
Tiebreaks·
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
79

Gutierrez O.: 20 days rest · Topo M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw