Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#48WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$778kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#117WTA
1653ELO
1588Hard ELO
30 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWWW
Frech M.
vs
Jeanjean L.

Magdalena Frech faces Leolia Jeanjean in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Magdalena Frech holds the paper edge — ranked #48, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Frech M.62%
Jeanjean L.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Frech M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Frech M. 3–4 · Jeanjean L. 3–5
Both lost · same surface, 14 days apart · incl. team event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+112 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1588
5.9Overall Elo 1725
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1653
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 35 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Frech M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jeanjean L.

Jeanjean L.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
78
Break points saved·Dominant
7
75
Break points won·Dominant
36
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
35
94
Tiebreaks·Even
70
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
80

Frech M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Jeanjean L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 96%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw