Matthew Forbes vs Spencer Johnson — Lexington Qualifying Semi-final
Forbes M.Matthew Forbes faces Spencer Johnson in the Lexington qualifying semi-final on hard. Spencer Johnson holds the paper edge — ranked #529.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Johnson S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Matthew Forbes 0 games in 14 days, Spencer Johnson 18.
- Surface form: Matthew Forbes 6 of 10, Spencer Johnson 8 of 10 on hard recently — Spencer Johnson the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Freshness
Recent loadForbes M.: 15 days rest · Johnson S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.