Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Roger Pascual FerraLexington Q32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Q32
#292ATP
1527ELO
1487Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#682ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Pacheco Mendez R.
6-2 6-3
Pascual Ferra R.
Pacheco Mendez R.
662
Pascual Ferra R.
230

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez defeated Roger Pascual Ferra 6-2, 6-3 in the semifinals of the Lexington hard-court tournament. Pacheco Mendez hit two aces and three double faults, winning 80 percent of his first serves and converting 28 percent of break points. He won five service breaks to Pascual Ferra's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
73%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
55%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Dominant
69%
44%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Pacheco Mendez R.62%
Pascual Ferra R.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pacheco Mendez R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
74

Pacheco Mendez R.: 16 days rest · Pascual Ferra R.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw