James Duckworth vs C. O'ConnellMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#83ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$488kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLWLW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#126ATP
32 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWWWWWW
Duckworth J.
vs
O'Connell C.

James Duckworth faces C. O'Connell in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. James Duckworth holds the paper edge — ranked #83. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, James Duckworth ahead 1–0 on hard.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Duckworth J.49%
O'Connell C.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Duckworth J. 0–2 · O'Connell C. 1–2 · small sample
O'Connell C. better · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
33%
33%
Break points saved·Even
73%
72%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.4
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Duckworth J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs O'Connell C.

O'Connell C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
71

Duckworth J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · O'Connell C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-14LondonQ16carpetC. O'Connell7-6(4) 6-0
2022-08-30US OpenR128hardJames Duckworth4-6 7-6(0) 6-2 6-3

Draw