Matej Dodig vs Jannik OpitzHagen Qualifying Semi-final

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#258ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLWLL
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
#850ATP
28 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWWWW
Dodig M.
vs
Opitz J.

Matej Dodig faces Jannik Opitz in the Hagen qualifying semi-final on clay. Matej Dodig is the paper favourite — ranked #258 — but Jannik Opitz arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Matej Dodig's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Dodig M.75%
Opitz J.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dodig M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.71 of last 6 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

22 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Dodig M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Opitz J.

Opitz J.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Dodig M.

Serve advantage — Opitz J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Dodig M.: 18 days rest · Opitz J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw