Maiko Uchijima vs Cristina Bucsa — Toronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
JPN
Maiko Uchijima
22 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWWLWLL
—
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
Cristina Bucsa
ESP
Cristina Bucsa
#40WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLWWW
Uchijima M.
vs
Bucsa C.

Maiko Uchijima faces Cristina Bucsa in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Maiko Uchijima brings the better recent hard form (4 of 6).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Uchijima M.12%
Bucsa C.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bucsa C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Uchijima M. 0–3 · Bucsa C. 2–1 · small sample
Both lost · hard to compare — different surfaces (Clay × Hard) · 9 months apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Uchijima M.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Bucsa C.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.23 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
Uchijima M.Bucsa C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
40%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
42%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Break points saved·Dominant
0%
42%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Uchijima M.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Uchijima M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Uchijima M.Bucsa C.
Freshness·Dominant
57
87

Uchijima M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 97 games (7d) · Bucsa C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CRain
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 96%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw