Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann — Montreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
Benjamin Bonzi
FRAQ
Benjamin Bonzi
#101ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWWLW
—
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
ROGERS COURT · 5th on
Yannick Hanfmann
GER
Yannick Hanfmann
#45ATP
1781ELO
1721Hard ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWL
Bonzi B.
vs
Hanfmann Y.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Bonzi B.50%
Hanfmann Y.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
9 common opponents · Bonzi B. 4–6 · Hanfmann Y. 7–5
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Grass)▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bonzi B.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Hanfmann Y.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1713
Surface ELO
5.1+8 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1781
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
Bonzi B.Hanfmann Y.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
8.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bonzi B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bonzi B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Bonzi B.Hanfmann Y.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
45
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
89
Break points won·Clear edge
15
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
32

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Bonzi B.Hanfmann Y.
Freshness·Dominant
56
89

Bonzi B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 107 games (7d) · Hanfmann Y.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw